Tactics and Substance in the 2004 Elections GoogleNews: Howard Dean

August 27, 2003

by V

New NH poll: Outlier or Trend?

Zogby News: Dean Surges Into Wide Lead Over Kerry, 38%-17%, in Zogby Poll of Likely Democratic Primary Voters in New Hampshire; All Other Candidates in Single Digits
...Dean has surged into a wide lead in polling of 501 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire...

Nearly two in five (38%) supported Dean, giving him a substantial lead over Massachusetts Senator John Kerry at 17%.  In February polling in New Hampshire, Kerry led Dean, 26% - 13%.  In June, the gap had narrowed to Kerry 25%, Dean 22%.

All other Democratic presidential hopefuls remained in single digits, with Connecticut Senator Joseph Lieberman and Missouri Congressman Richard Gephardt tied at 6%...

Pollster John Zogby:  "This is stunning.  Dean’s surge seems to be at a heavy cost to Kerry, who led Dean in previous New Hampshire polling.  Dean has also taken from Gephardt’s standing, and from the undecideds.  His support is really across the board ... both Congressional districts, men and women, Democrats and independents, liberals and moderates.  He’s the candidate to watch at the top of the scale, while some of those down the line might re-think their candidacy at this point."
Whoa. A bigger jump than I expected, by far.
Posted by V at August 27, 2003 10:01 AM

And even more interesting that it's likely Democratic voters. I suspect that independents will break in Dean's favor, too (of the indies that go to Dems.)

Fascinating! I really don't know what to think about this poll. It's almost too good to be true, but I'll take it!

Kerry's going down in flames. I blame his staff (Mssrs Lehane and Jordan). He should go back to the Senate. Or maybe he could be SecDef in Dean's cabinet? Ok, probably getting ahead of myself..

Much work still to be done!

Posted by: J at August 27, 2003 10:15 AM

Recommended Reading:

The Politics of Truth: Inside the Lies that Led to War and Betrayed My Wife's CIA Identity: A Diplomat's Memoir
The Politics of Truth... A Diplomat's Memoir

Worse Than Watergate: The Secret Presidency of George W. Bush
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Against All Enemies by Richard Clarke
Against All Enemies: Inside America's War on Terror

LIES by Al Franken
Lies and the Lying Liars Who Tell Them: A Fair and Balanced Look at the Right

The Great Unraveling
The Great Unraveling

The Great Big Book of Tomorrow
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Clinton Wars
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Blinded by the Right
Blinded by the Right: The Conscience of an Ex-Conservative

Waging Modern War: Bosnia, Kosovo, and the Future of Combat

Subject to Debate: Sense and Dissents on Women, Politics, and Culture

Living History

The Hunting of the President: The Ten-Year Campaign to Destroy Bill and Hillary Clinton

John Adams

Founding Brothers: The Revolutionary Generation

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